Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Home Stretch of the Hurricane Season


As the 2007 hurricane season enters its final 2 months, or the home stretch, it could remain active right up to the final day of November 30. If you have read some of my earlier posts, you know that the La Nina pattern could continue through the upcoming winter and spring. Such patterns have lead to active late season action in the tropics. Even today, we are watching an area of low pressure in the Gulf for any tropical development. Currently, that "low" is more of a cold core system, so it is not purely tropical but it could cause tropical-like rains and squalls along the coast. Right now, our chance of rain with this system looks low if at all, but we should see some more cloud cover. Now, late season tropical activity has on occasions brought us some heavy rain. So, with the higher than normal chance that the season could remain active, there still exists a chance for us to have some much needed rain. As always, only time will tell.

Here is a link to the updates hurricane forecast from Colorado State University (a very good article): Dr Gray October update

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