Felix Forming?

August 15-October 15 is typically the busiest 2 months of the hurricane season and this year has started heating up right on time. Dean reached the Top 10 list of strongest recorded hurricanes before plowing into the Yucatan. Cancun was spared the worst with Chetumal to the south taking the brunt of the storm. Dean should move back over water in the southern Gulf (Bay of Campeche) before making a second landfall. The second landfall in Mexico will be far less severe than what occurred on the Yucatan. As Dean begins moving away, another system is being watched well east of the Bahamas. A tropical wave interacting with an upper low is tightly clustering t-storms and upper level conditions are beginning to improve for some development over the next couple of days. The NAM, North American Model puts this system near the Bahamas over the weekend with a continued westerly movement. The tropical model suite (see image above) also favors a westerly path with some slow development. So, "Felix" could be on the horizon.