Friday, August 17, 2007

Jamaica Topping "Dean's" List



Major Hurricane Dean could be on a collision course with Jamaica by Sunday. Dean is located in an environment which should sustain the current strength along with intensification. It is possible for Dean to be a strong Category 5 hurricane when it arrives on the Jamaican coast. After Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and Cancun/Cozumel will be on the radar for a visit from Dean. The longer range outlook for the United States would favor a landfall from the south Texas coast southward to along the Mexican coast. As far as Dean's strength at that point will depend on its rendezvous with the Yucatan Peninsula. A longer time over land should allow the storm to weaken from 4 or 5 strength. Once this occurs to a storm it will make it much harder for the storm to regain its once powerful strength. A shorter time spent over the landmass of the Yucatan will mean that Dean could sustain its strength.
Our region should not have any effects at all from Dean. Most, if not all of the moisture should still well south of our region, and the hot/dry pattern will continue.

1 comment:

Daddy said...

David:

Dean is turning out to be an incredible storm. Cat 5 doesn't seem to be too far away.