Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Who Will Be On Dean's List?...TD5 Develops in Gulf




At 11pm, the National Hurricane Center assigned Tropical Depression 5 status to the system in the Gulf. It is heading west and should affect the Texas coast by Thursday as a moderate tropical storm. Our local area will not see any affects from this system.
I will give credit where credit is due for the first headline. Our news producer Dan Lehr posed that question to me as to where "Dean" might go. TD4 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Dean Tuesday morning as it is gradually gaining strength. It could become the season's first hurricane by the end of the week. The tropical season is almost right on schedule as today marks the average date of the first hurricane of the season. It is still too early to say where Dean might end up. But, the 5 day forecast cone shows a slight nudge west-northwest which is consistent with most of the computer model guidance. By Day 5, there could be a gap between pressure ridges that could allow this west-northwest turn. All the while, the environment for strengthening should continue. The one big question mark remaining is what path will it take in the northeastern Caribbean. A pass over the higher terrain of Hispanola has been known to shred apart developing storms. We will just have to see if Dean tries to become a mountain climber, or skirts around and strengthens near the Florida Straits and Bahamas. Only time will tell.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Let us hope it comes this way and kicks this hot weather out of here. Our tree leaves are changing color like it is fall.

Anonymous said...

whewwww, lets just hope and pray for some rain .... some nice slow 2 to 3 day and all night showers, to request a hurricane may be a bit much.. but hey if it will help i say come on up dean....